At. Venezuela vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
ANZ
3 - 1
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
YAR
2 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 0
MIR
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
ARA
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
MIR
1 - 2
ATL
65%
22%
14%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
LLA
2 - 3
MON
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
MIR
31%
28%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
MON
38%
27%
35%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MON
2 - 1
TRU
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 0
ANG
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |