At. Venezuela vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
48.5%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 0
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
LAR
3 - 2
ATL
73%
19%
9%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZAM
22%
28%
50%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
MIN
2 - 2
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 2
ANZ
23%
28%
50%
|
49 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
MON
0 - 1
CFC
26%
24%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 1
MON
51%
24%
26%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
MON
1 - 1
LAR
36%
27%
37%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ZAM
2 - 1
MON
63%
21%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
MIN
42%
27%
30%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |