At. Venezuela vs Metropolitanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
17.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MIN
0 - 0
ATL
66%
21%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
ARA
49%
27%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CFC
1 - 0
ATL
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
ZAM
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
DEP
3 - 1
ATL
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Metropolitanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
MIR
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 1
MET
54%
27%
19%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
MET
0 - 7
ANZ
28%
29%
43%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TUC
2 - 1
MET
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
MET
1 - 0
ZUL
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |