At. Venezuela vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
TRU
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MIR
1 - 0
ATL
32%
30%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAR
39%
25%
36%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ANZ
0 - 0
ATL
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 0
TUC
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
LLA
0 - 1
MIR
39%
28%
33%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
LLA
52%
26%
22%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 3
ANZ
20%
25%
55%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
LLA
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
LLA
2 - 0
ZUL
40%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |