At. Venezuela vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
35.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ATL
44%
26%
30%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 1
ZUL
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 2
ATL
45%
26%
29%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 1
CFC
30%
26%
44%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MIN
3 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
EST
2 - 0
ZUL
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
LAR
3 - 3
EST
61%
22%
18%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
EST
1 - 0
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
EST
0 - 0
POR
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |