At. Venezuela vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
URE
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ESC
4 - 3
ATL
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
ATL
30%
32%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ZUL
4 - 0
EST
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
MIN
27%
28%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
EST
1 - 1
TAC
20%
26%
54%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 2
EST
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |