Venezuelan Cup Last 16
Global 2-2
At. Venezuela vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
ZUL
0 - 0
ATL
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 3
CAR
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 0
PAC
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
TRU
1 - 1
ATL
37%
26%
37%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2017 |
ATL
4 - 2
DEP
27%
25%
48%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 2
ESC
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
MET
0 - 2
ESC
52%
24%
23%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 1
TUC
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
ANG
2 - 1
ESC
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |