Venezuelan Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-1
At. Venezuela vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
MIN
0 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 1
ATL
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZUL
34%
26%
41%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
MIN
39%
26%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
UCV
2 - 3
ESC
33%
24%
44%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
0 - 1
LAR
27%
22%
51%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 0
ZUL
29%
23%
49%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 2
UCV
54%
23%
24%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 0
ESC
69%
17%
14%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |