At. Venezuela vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
29.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
TAC
2 - 1
ATL
75%
17%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
LAR
3 - 0
ATL
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
EST
46%
26%
27%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 3
URE
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ESC
4 - 3
ATL
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 1
TRU
32%
28%
41%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
ESC
72%
17%
10%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
MIN
4 - 0
ESC
61%
22%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ESC
4 - 3
ATL
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
TAC
4 - 0
ESC
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |