Clausura Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
At. Venezuela vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
LAR
0 - 3
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
2 - 1
ZUL
46%
24%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 0
ATL
48%
25%
28%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 3
ATL
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAR
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
LAR
0 - 3
ATL
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 1
LAR
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
LAR
1 - 0
ZUL
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
POR
1 - 2
LAR
32%
26%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
LAR
2 - 2
ZUL
41%
25%
34%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |