At. Venezuela vs Deportivo Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
61%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
ARR
1 - 3
ATL
29%
25%
46%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CFC
0 - 0
ATL
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 0
ATL
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
ZUL
1 - 0
ATL
70%
19%
11%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
GUA
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 0
ARA
69%
20%
11%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
ZAM
0 - 3
LAR
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
LAR
1 - 2
ANZ
63%
23%
15%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
LAR
2 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MIN
0 - 1
LAR
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |