At. Venezuela vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
47.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
ARA
3 - 3
ATL
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
CFC
27%
29%
45%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LLA
0 - 3
ATL
42%
29%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
MIN
34%
28%
38%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ESC
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
DEP
2 - 0
TRU
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
ZAM
2 - 0
DEP
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
DEP
3 - 2
ZUL
62%
23%
14%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
POR
1 - 1
DEP
18%
26%
56%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 0
DEP
28%
29%
43%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |