Copa Venezuela Last 16
Global 1-2
At. Venezuela vs La Guaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
42.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
ZAM
3 - 0
ATL
69%
20%
11%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
45%
24%
31%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 0
CFC
26%
29%
45%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
ATL
37%
30%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
La Guaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
UCE
34%
27%
39%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
2 - 0
TAC
31%
29%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2015 |
UCE
1 - 1
DEP
64%
20%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
DEP
60%
23%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 0
CFC
33%
29%
37%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |