At. Venezuela vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
LAL
1 - 1
ATL
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 0
UCV
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
MIN
1 - 2
ATL
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
ATL
4 - 1
MET
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 2
MON
32%
27%
41%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 2
MON
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
MIN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
MET
1 - 1
CFC
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
LAL
0 - 2
CFC
13%
23%
64%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 1
UCV
76%
17%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |