At. Venezuela vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
44.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
MIN
3 - 0
ATL
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 1
ZAM
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2017 |
MON
2 - 1
ATL
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
ESC
0 - 0
ATL
28%
26%
46%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
ATL
0 - 2
LAR
32%
26%
43%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CFC
1 - 1
TAC
43%
25%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
CFC
18%
23%
60%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 1
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CFC
2 - 3
MIN
44%
25%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ANZ
0 - 2
CFC
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |