At. Venezuela vs Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
45.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
ESC
0 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
TUC
0 - 0
ATL
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
LLA
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
TRU
1 - 0
ATL
54%
27%
19%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 3
ANZ
29%
28%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
PDA
1 - 3
CFC
16%
21%
63%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CFC
0 - 0
TAC
50%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
DEP
0 - 0
CFC
33%
29%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 0
ZAM
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 2
LAR
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |