At. Venezuela vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
43.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAR
28%
29%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 1
ESC
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
MET
0 - 1
ATL
36%
28%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ANZ
2 - 1
ATL
32%
27%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
EST
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2019 |
EST
0 - 1
CAR
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 0
ATL
55%
25%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 2
CAR
28%
29%
43%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ANZ
0 - 1
CAR
24%
28%
49%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |