At. Venezuela vs Carabobo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
44.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TRU
3 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
10%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 2
TAC
20%
24%
56%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
YAR
2 - 0
ATL
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 0
EST
30%
24%
46%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 0
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
CFC
27%
26%
48%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ZAM
2 - 2
CAR
61%
21%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
TRU
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 2
TAC
32%
28%
41%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
YAR
1 - 1
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |