Venezuelan Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
At. Venezuela vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 2
MIN
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
APC
0 - 2
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 1
ATL
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
LAR
2 - 0
ARA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 1
MON
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
ARA
45%
26%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 0
ESC
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
MET
0 - 2
ARA
27%
26%
47%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |