At. Venezuela vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ZUL
2 - 1
ATL
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
CFC
4 - 0
ATL
78%
15%
7%
|
49 | 73 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 5
CAR
31%
24%
45%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TRU
3 - 0
ATL
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 2
TAC
20%
24%
56%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
MIN
0 - 1
ARA
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 0
ANZ
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
MIR
1 - 1
ARA
49%
26%
26%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ARA
0 - 1
DEP
39%
26%
35%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |