Atlético Venezuela II vs Estudiantes de Caracas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
45.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Venezuela II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
DIA
3 - 0
VEN
41%
24%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
VEN
1 - 3
TUC
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
VEN
1 - 2
ANG
43%
26%
31%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
LAL
5 - 0
VEN
52%
24%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
VEN
0 - 0
PDA
49%
24%
27%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
ESC
2 - 3
AME
12%
19%
70%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PDA
1 - 0
ESC
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
TUC
1 - 0
ESC
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
ESC
1 - 2
ANG
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |