Atl. Tucumán vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2016 |
TIG
0 - 0
ATT
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2016 |
ATT
3 - 0
QUI
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
GOD
1 - 2
ATT
63%
22%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ATT
0 - 0
BEL
40%
26%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LAN
1 - 0
ATT
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
IND
0 - 1
BAN
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
COL
0 - 2
IND
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
IND
1 - 0
RIV
38%
27%
36%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2016 |
RAC
3 - 0
IND
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
IND
1 - 2
SLO
42%
28%
31%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |