Atl. Tucumán vs Ferro Carril Oeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ATT
3 - 0
DHA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ALD
1 - 1
ATT
45%
29%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ATT
0 - 1
BUC
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
BRO
1 - 0
ATT
43%
28%
29%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ATT
1 - 2
PAT
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ferro Carril Oeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
FER
37%
30%
33%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
CAU
33%
30%
38%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
ITA
70%
22%
8%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2014 |
TAL
3 - 1
FER
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
FER
3 - 0
SAR
34%
32%
35%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |