Atl. Tucumán vs Dep. Santamarina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
17.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SPB
1 - 2
ATT
37%
29%
34%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ATT
0 - 0
PAT
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SAR
3 - 2
ATT
45%
29%
27%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
ATT
1 - 2
HUR
50%
27%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TEM
2 - 1
ATT
33%
31%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Santamarina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 0
SPB
47%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
PAT
1 - 2
RSA
53%
27%
21%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
0 - 2
SAR
38%
28%
33%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
HUR
3 - 0
RSA
61%
23%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2014 |
RSA
3 - 1
TEM
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |