Atl. Tucumán vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.4%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.2%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
NOB
2 - 1
ATT
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ATT
3 - 2
SMA
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATT
2 - 1
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 1
ATT
30%
30%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
BEL
0 - 0
ATT
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
VSC
1 - 0
DEF
42%
28%
29%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 0
ACA
48%
30%
22%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
COL
0 - 1
DEF
56%
26%
19%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
DEF
0 - 1
STM
52%
29%
19%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
DEF
2 - 1
MOR
31%
31%
38%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |