Atl. Tucumán vs Atletico Rafaela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
ATT
0 - 1
DEF
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
NOB
2 - 1
ATT
48%
27%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
ATT
3 - 2
SMA
47%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ATT
2 - 1
BEL
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2016 |
TEM
1 - 1
ATT
30%
30%
40%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
RAF
2 - 2
FER
59%
22%
19%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 2
ARG
61%
22%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ALD
2 - 1
RAF
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
RAF
0 - 0
TIG
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
RAF
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |