Atlético Tomelloso vs Villarrubia CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
62%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
14º
16º
15º
45
3º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 77.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LSO
3 - 1
ATT
70%
18%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 4
QRE
12%
20%
68%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 0
ATT
77%
16%
7%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ATT
2 - 1
TAR
13%
20%
67%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | +2 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CSP
4 - 0
ATT
88%
9%
3%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Villarrubia CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
QRE
0 - 0
VRU
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VRU
2 - 1
TAR
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
2 - 0
VRU
39%
27%
34%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
ALZ
1 - 1
VRU
65%
22%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VRU
0 - 0
CDC
47%
25%
28%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |