Atlético Tomelloso vs CD Villacañas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
14º
16º
15º
43
1º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 45.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 54.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
CDT
4 - 1
ATT
80%
14%
7%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ATT
1 - 0
TDR
28%
24%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
UBC
0 - 0
ATT
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ATT
1 - 2
VRU
15%
23%
62%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LSO
3 - 1
ATT
70%
18%
12%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Villacañas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
TDR
2 - 3
VIL
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 1
VRU
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
QRE
0 - 0
VIL
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 0
TAR
45%
24%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ILL
1 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |