Atlético Tomelloso vs CD Illescas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
70.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.7%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
14º
16º
15º
50
1º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 44 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
72% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
72% | |
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
72% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
ATT
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ATT
1 - 2
CDC
18%
24%
58%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ATT
4 - 1
CAZ
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 0
ATT
64%
20%
16%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 1
ATT
21%
24%
55%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Illescas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
CDC
1 - 0
ILL
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 3
ILL
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 1
VIL
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ILL
2 - 0
HAL
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 16 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CIU
1 - 2
ILL
29%
24%
47%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |