Atlético Sorocaba vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
0 - 2
ATL
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
RBB
49%
23%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 1
ATL
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
3 - 2
UNI
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SEP
2 - 1
ATL
26%
23%
51%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
XVD
2 - 1
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 4
XVD
27%
25%
48%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
XVD
0 - 2
RBB
56%
22%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
XVD
2 - 0
SAO
53%
23%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AUD
2 - 2
XVD
41%
24%
35%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |