Atlético Sorocaba vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 1
ATL
25%
23%
52%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
SAO
50%
24%
25%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
AUD
3 - 0
VEL
59%
21%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
1 - 2
GRÊ
29%
23%
48%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 0
SAN
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
2 - 1
VEL
43%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
VEL
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |