Atlético Sorocaba vs União São João analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 1
RIO
62%
20%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MON
4 - 2
ATL
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
5 - 1
UNI
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 3
ATL
34%
25%
42%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
4 - 1
VEL
51%
23%
26%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 2
PEN
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
SEP
1 - 0
UNI
43%
24%
33%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VEL
2 - 1
UNI
49%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
4 - 1
RIO
43%
24%
32%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |