Atlético Sorocaba vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
ATL
3 - 3
AUD
39%
24%
37%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATL
50%
23%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
CAT
0 - 0
ATL
36%
24%
41%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 0
VFC
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 3
ATL
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
0 - 0
UNI
27%
23%
50%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
UNI
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2010 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAT
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
UNI
3 - 2
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
AUD
1 - 2
UNI
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |