Atlético Sorocaba vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
GRE
2 - 4
ATL
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
GUA
1 - 1
ATL
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 2
AME
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
OSV
1 - 0
ATL
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
SAO
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
4 - 2
GUA
32%
24%
44%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 0
CAT
55%
23%
22%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 2
SAO
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
AME
2 - 2
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |