Atlético Sorocaba vs Rio Claro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
23.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RBB
1 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 2
ATL
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 2
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
AUD
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Claro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
PEN
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 2
VEL
40%
25%
35%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
RBB
4 - 1
RIO
60%
21%
19%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
SEP
6 - 3
RIO
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
53%
25%
23%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |