Atlético Sorocaba vs América SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
RIO
0 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
OSV
1 - 0
ATL
37%
25%
39%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 4
LIN
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAT
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
UNI
2 - 0
ATL
52%
23%
26%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
América SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
AME
2 - 2
SAO
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2010 |
AME
0 - 0
RIO
54%
23%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CAT
1 - 3
AME
57%
23%
21%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 0
NOR
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
AME
1 - 3
LIN
54%
23%
24%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |