Atlético Sorocaba vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Sorocaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
MIR
2 - 0
ATL
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 3
ATL
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
COM
56%
24%
21%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 1
CAT
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
ATL
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 1
RIO
47%
23%
30%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 2
SAO
46%
23%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 3
AGU
40%
25%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
OES
1 - 2
AGU
64%
20%
16%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
3 - 1
GUA
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |