Atl. Santa Cruz vs Ciudad de Calasparra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
20.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
0 - 1
ASC
53%
21%
26%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 0
UDL
48%
23%
29%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 5
ASC
42%
24%
34%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
ASC
1 - 0
LOR
58%
20%
23%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CDL
2 - 2
ASC
55%
21%
24%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ciudad de Calasparra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CCS
4 - 2
UMO
70%
16%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 1
CCS
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CCS
1 - 2
UDL
38%
24%
38%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
CCS
56%
22%
22%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
CCS
1 - 1
LOR
56%
20%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |