Atl. Santa Cruz vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
42.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UDL
0 - 0
ASC
57%
21%
22%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
ASC
1 - 0
ABA
31%
21%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 0
ASC
34%
23%
44%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
ASC
0 - 1
YEC
45%
22%
33%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
AFC
3 - 1
ASC
57%
20%
23%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 3
MIN
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MAZ
1 - 0
BAL
53%
23%
24%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
CHU
50%
23%
26%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ALG
1 - 2
BAL
30%
25%
45%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
4 - 0
CCS
52%
23%
25%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |