Atlético Roraima vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
70.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Roraima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
GEN
3 - 0
ARO
43%
23%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2009 |
ARO
1 - 2
NAC
21%
22%
57%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 0
ARO
73%
17%
11%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2009 |
ARO
2 - 1
GEN
54%
22%
25%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 1
ARO
43%
23%
34%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
POR
2 - 1
PAU
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
OES
1 - 2
POR
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
POR
1 - 1
COR
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PPE
2 - 1
POR
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
PAL
1 - 1
POR
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |