Riachense vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
55.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
4 - 0
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
ELE
28%
26%
47%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PAÇ
9 - 0
ATL
90%
8%
2%
|
34 | 79 | 45 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MAF
2 - 0
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 3
UDL
20%
24%
57%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SER
0 - 1
CAL
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 3
SER
16%
22%
62%
|
49 | 26 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
FAT
69%
20%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SER
2 - 2
TOR
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 1
SER
48%
26%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |