Riachense vs Fatima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
32.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 2
SER
21%
24%
56%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ALC
4 - 0
ATL
54%
24%
22%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
ELE
28%
26%
47%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PAÇ
9 - 0
ATL
90%
8%
2%
|
34 | 79 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Fatima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
FAT
1 - 1
CAL
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
FAT
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FAT
2 - 2
UDL
22%
24%
53%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
FAT
0 - 0
TOR
31%
26%
43%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
SER
1 - 0
FAT
69%
20%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |