Riachense vs Carregado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
63.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
MAF
5 - 0
ATL
80%
14%
6%
|
17 | 55 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
ALC
4 - 0
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
17 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
9%
16%
75%
|
15 | 47 | 32 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LOU
4 - 1
ATL
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 2
CAL
12%
19%
69%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Carregado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
UDL
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 3
ADP
87%
9%
4%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FAT
4 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
MAF
2 - 1
CAR
74%
17%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
ALC
54%
21%
25%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |