Riachense vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
46.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 3
SAO
26%
23%
51%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ELE
4 - 0
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 1
MAF
21%
25%
54%
|
30 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
LOU
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +3 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ADP
0 - 2
ATL
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 2
CAL
44%
26%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 2
ATL
57%
24%
20%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
NAC
7%
16%
77%
|
39 | 79 | 40 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 1
TOR
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
LOU
2 - 2
ALC
44%
25%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |