Riachense vs Alcanenense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
67.5%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riachense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
TOR
5 - 1
ATL
81%
13%
6%
|
16 | 44 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
LOU
13%
19%
69%
|
15 | 39 | 24 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
CAL
2 - 1
ATL
79%
15%
7%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 3
FAT
13%
20%
67%
|
16 | 46 | 30 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ATL
2 - 1
UDL
12%
21%
67%
|
15 | 51 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
Alcanenense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALC
0 - 1
UDL
23%
25%
52%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
ADP
0 - 3
ALC
17%
21%
62%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
CAR
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MAF
3 - 3
ALC
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FAT
1 - 0
ALC
61%
21%
18%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |