Atlético Reguengos vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
QUA
1 - 2
ATL
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PAÇ
4 - 0
ATL
90%
8%
2%
|
36 | 75 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
ANG
38%
26%
37%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MOU
1 - 0
ATL
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
3 - 1
SCP
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 1
FER
25%
24%
51%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
PRA
4 - 1
LUS
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUS
0 - 4
LOU
36%
27%
37%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ALJ
2 - 0
LUS
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
4 - 1
LUS
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |