Atlético Reguengos vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
33.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Reguengos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 1
ATL
55%
25%
20%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
FCB
38%
27%
35%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
JUV
2 - 0
ATL
34%
27%
39%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 0
ALM
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 1
ATL
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
FCC
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
2 - 2
PIN
33%
24%
44%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCC
3 - 1
LUS
36%
23%
40%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
1 - 1
FCC
63%
20%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
FCC
0 - 1
LOU
25%
24%
51%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |