Atlético Rafal U19 vs Penya Ciutadella U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
47.4%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
16º
18º
17º
35
9º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
71 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
64 | 66 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
62 | 65 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
59 | 59 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 52 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 48 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 47 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 44 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 38 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
14 | 14 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 3 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Rafal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
5 - 1
ARA
71%
17%
12%
|
6 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
0 - 4
SAN
17%
19%
64%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 4
AND
15%
18%
66%
|
6 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
POB
3 - 1
ARA
59%
20%
21%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ARA
1 - 3
SAL
17%
19%
64%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Penya Ciutadella U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 3
POB
51%
21%
28%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 0
SCR
61%
19%
20%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 2
RCD
8%
14%
78%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2022 |
PEN
1 - 2
IBI
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ATB
8 - 0
PEN
65%
19%
16%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |