Atletico Rafaela vs Tiro Federal Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
8.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2011 |
ATT
0 - 2
RAF
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
RAF
4 - 0
INS
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
BUC
0 - 1
RAF
26%
28%
45%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
RAF
2 - 2
IRV
66%
21%
14%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 2
RAF
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Tiro Federal Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2011 |
TFE
1 - 2
CEN
33%
28%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
SMA
2 - 0
TFE
51%
26%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
TFE
0 - 2
BEL
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
SMA
0 - 2
TFE
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
TFE
1 - 1
ALM
52%
26%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |