Atletico Rafaela vs San Martín Tucumán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Rafaela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 0
RAF
51%
26%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
RAF
2 - 2
BHU
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
IRV
0 - 0
RAF
35%
28%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
RAF
2 - 1
TAL
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ALD
2 - 0
RAF
35%
29%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
SMA
2 - 1
GOD
36%
28%
37%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2007 |
BEL
2 - 3
SMA
49%
28%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 1
CHA
50%
28%
23%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ALM
2 - 0
SMA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
SMA
1 - 0
DYJ
53%
27%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |